A predictive model using five of such polymorphisms (CXCL12 rs2839695, IL12A rs7615589, KIR3DL1 rs4554639, TGFB2 rs5781034 for the recipient and CD48 rs2295615 for the donor) together with the development of acute GVHD grade III/IV improved risk stratification of CMV reactivation. Here, CD48 is linked to acute graft versus host disease.