Adding the 22 metabolites to a reference predictive model for cognitive decline (conditioned on age, gender, education and including ApoE‐ε4, diabetes, BMI, and number of medications) substantially increases the predictive performance: cross‐validated Area Under the Receiver Operating Curve = 75% [95% CI 70–80%] compared to 62% [95% CI 56–67%]. This evidence concerns the gene APOE and Mental deterioration.