For incident prediabetes (n = 73), all ROC AUCs were less than 70%, whereas for incident type 2 diabetes, I30/I0, CP30/CP0, ΔI30/ΔG30, ΔCP30/ΔG30 (where I, CP and G are the plasma concentrations of insulin, C-peptide and glucose, respectively, at the times indicated), and corrected insulin response at 30 min had ROC AUCs over 70%. Here, INS is linked to type 2 diabetes mellitus.